Back at Imola, I conferred with de Lorqua, dealt with administrative issues, and prepared for the next campaign. All of my Captains were informed that Bologna was to be the goal. Giovanni Bentivoglio was told by King Louis that he was on his own, and then learned that the Pope had summoned him to Rome, to answer charges of maladministration.
Now my condottiere wondered. Vitellozzo Vitelli was sick with syphilis. The Orsinis were particularly upset, because a Frenchman had told them that the Pope meant to do away with their house. They had a family conference at Todi.
I was worried, too, but I had Dorotea to occupy my nights. I had no fear of catching syphilis from my lover, but I didn't want to impregnate her, so I pulled out and finished on her stomach, her breasts, or her ass.
In the first week of October, Cardinal Orsini hosted a meeting at his castle of La Magione, near Perugia. The list of attendees was impressive. Cardinal Orsini, as head of the clan. Francisco Orsini, his nephew, the Duke of Gravina. Paolo Orsini, Lord of Palombara. Gian Paolo Baglioni, Lord of Perugia, and his brother Gentile. Oliverotto da Fermo. Vitellozzo Vitelli was carried in on a litter. Bentivoglio of Bologna sent his son Ermes. Guidobaldo de Montefeltro's nephew, Ottavio Fregoso, was there. Pandolfo Petrucci of Siena sent two envoys.
Together, these men could gather troops that outnumbered me by a significant margin. But Florence wasn't involved. Nor were Ferrara and Mantua. Venice might approve, but they hadn't sent a representative.
Gian Paolo Baglioni took the lead. He said that they would all be devoured by the dragon, one by one, if they didn't act together. Bentivoglio and Vitelli swore to kill me if they had the chance. That was about it: words, with little substance. They had two major problems: not one of them was a natural leader, who could sway the others - and they were all afraid of me.
They might not have done anything at all, except that a key fortress in Urbino, San Leo, revolted against my rule. Gian Paolo Baglioni brought the other condottiere into line, and they signed an agreement on October 9th. I was to be attacked on two sides, by Bentivoglio and Baglioni in the north, while the Orsinis struck at me in Urbino.
Yes, Alberini provided me detailed information about the meeting at La Magione, thanks to a gentleman named Roberto Orsini, and to Paolo Orsini himself, who was wavering.
Machiavelli arrived at Imola, and was surprised to find me quite calm. Maybe because it was him, I said more than I should have.
- "I'm actually glad that they've revealed themselves."
I had 750 men-at-arms, and 2500 infantry. If my enemies attacked immediately, they could overwhelm me. The French were too far away, at Milan. If I faced any more uprisings, like in Urbino, I would be in serious trouble.
Thankfully, though, I'd been expecting this - or something like this - since June. I wrote off Urbino. It was lost, for now. I sent Ramiro de Lorqua to check on the preparedness of the Romagna fortresses. Miguel went to the Val di Lamone, to meet the Di Naldo brothers and recruit infantry. In a few days, he had 800 men. I had Ugo de Moncada retreat from Urbino towards Rimini. I also sent to Milan to hire 500 Gascons and 1500 Swiss. As Julius Caesar put it: "If you have no money, you have no soldiers." A more modern expression had been coined: "Pas d'argent, pas de Suisses". On that note, the Pope sent me 18,000 ducats.
Machiavelli was impressed by the flurry of activity on all sides.
- "My Lord Valentino," he said, "You have spent more on couriers and messengers these past two weeks than anyone else would have spent in two years."
- "Information is priceless."
- "But are you not... concerned? By the situation?"
- "It could be much worse."
Miguel linked up with Ugo de Moncada. Together they sacked two small towns in Urbino. Miguel found the time to have old Giulio Cesare de Varano strangled - or perhaps he did it himself. I wasn't going to lose any sleep over that. Neither would most of Varano's former subjects in Camarino.
Unfortunately, the Orsinis caught up to them at Calmazzo, and defeated them. De Moncada was captured; Miguel retreated with the rest of their forces. Guidobaldo de Montefeltro returned to Urbino.
The Bentivoglios sent 2,300 men to Castel San Pietro, only seven miles from Imola. But there they halted. And there they remained.
The situation looked very bad, on the surface. But I could have answered Machiavelli's question now; I had the distinct feeling that the worst was over. They didn't have a single leader, but more importantly, they weren't prepared to confront me directly. I had read them correctly. They weren't brave men. They excelled at sieges, or against outnumbered opponents.
I'd lost Urbino, as I expected to. But all of the Romagna cities and towns remained loyal. So did my Romagnol, Spanish and Italian commanders - not one of them openly joined the conspiracy. I had troops and money pouring in. The worst thing I could had done was to attack them, risking a battle and exposing myself to defeat. A minor victory would do little for me, but a defeat would have been catastrophic. I simply refused to move, and it was the best thing I could have done.
By the end of October, French heavy cavalry were on the way. My enemies had been united by fear of me. Now it was that same fear of me that split them apart. I began to receive letters from them: messages of friendship. Paolo Orsini asked if he could come to see me, as did Cardinal Orsini.
Bentivoglio of Bologna began angling for a separate deal. He was obviously willing to abandon his allies if he could obtain a guarantee that he would be left unharmed.
I received Paolo Orsini with every courtesy. He explained that he had been mistaken, that he and the others had been afraid that I was going to turn on them. I reassured him, and spoke to him as a friend. Paolo was the weakest link; I let him carry my message to the others.
It was interesting to overhear part of a conversation between Machiavelli and my secretary, Agapito - who knew better than to give away any information (not that he knew much of my intentions anyway).
- "He's not going to lose. In fact, he's already won." said the Florentine emissary.
- "How's that?"
- "Look: on one side, you have Duke Valentino. He's vigorous, confident, blessed by fortune, with the Pope and the King behind him. Opposed are his faithless servants, who have cost him Urbino. Even when they were his friends, they feared his growing power, and worried about their own possessions. Now that they have injured him, they should fear him even more. Instead, I see them expecting to find forgiveness... how can this be?"
Machiavelli was finding it hard to pick up information from my associates, but he was fairly shrewd. He realized that all of my temporizing, all of the agreements I made, were no more than a temporary truce.
Gian Paolo Baglioni and Oliverotto da Fermo were tough, ruthless, and treacherous. Both had murdered members of their own families (and many others) to get where they were. Of all people, they should have known better than to trust soft words from a man they'd betrayed. Or maybe they were just waiting, and hoping for another opportunity to catch me off guard.
I gave the Bentivoglios a separate deal. Bologna was probably out of my reach, at this point. In return, they agreed to provide me with 400 horse, plus 12,000 ducats a year to hire a condotta. One additional benefit, for me, was that the other conspirators were now furious with their formed allies.
I made another agreement with the Orsinis, and then with the remaining traitors. I pledged to defend their lands, while they promised to help me recover Urbino and Camerino (which had been retaken by one of Varano's sons). There were articles about mutual forgiveness, etc.
My secretary was stunned. "Even children would laugh at such a treaty!" he said.
It reminded me, rather vividly, of a poker game I'd played in with Fournier, back at AFOTA. I'd just hit an Ace-high flush, and the way the board was configured, there was no way for anyone to have a full house. I was facing two pair, or three of a kind, at best.
One of the other players was looking at me rather intently.
- "Did you hit a flush?" he asked me.
- "I wish." I said.